Future Market
Predicting the property market is about as difficult as predicting the weather - and expert forecasts are rarely accurate. We know that over the next five years, in most areas, property prices are likely to recover, but within the next year or two, without a clear picture of how hard a recession could hit and to what level unemployment will rise, let alone unknown impacts of the Eurozone crisis on our banks and property market, it is tough to work out what will happen within the next six to twelve months. However below we go through key indicators which can influence prices.
READ ON for the full Future Property Market analysis
Monday, 5 March 2012
Friday, 2 March 2012
Current Market: 2012 a Good Year to Buy?
House Prices 2012
This year the usual doom and gloom merchants Capital Economics and Jonathan Davis are still saying property prices will fall by 5% (CE) or up to -12% (JD). These two companies are typically very ‘downbeat' about the market and have been since 2000! Other predictions suggest property prices will rise by up to 3%.
So, depending on whether we hit an economic recession in 2012 and how deep it is will determine whether prices show a little bit of growth or a small decline. If things get really rough with high unemployment levels, a sharp rise in repossessions and say a rise in interest rates, then it may be that the real doom and gloom forecasts of 5% or more falls could exist by the year end.
READ MORE to find out whether 2012 is a Good Year to Buy?
This year the usual doom and gloom merchants Capital Economics and Jonathan Davis are still saying property prices will fall by 5% (CE) or up to -12% (JD). These two companies are typically very ‘downbeat' about the market and have been since 2000! Other predictions suggest property prices will rise by up to 3%.
So, depending on whether we hit an economic recession in 2012 and how deep it is will determine whether prices show a little bit of growth or a small decline. If things get really rough with high unemployment levels, a sharp rise in repossessions and say a rise in interest rates, then it may be that the real doom and gloom forecasts of 5% or more falls could exist by the year end.
READ MORE to find out whether 2012 is a Good Year to Buy?
Thursday, 1 March 2012
Past Market Performance: Property Prices Start to Freeze
House Prices for 2011
Recent property price reports which measure what's happened to property prices in the past suggest that 2011 was a year where prices rose until the summer, then dropped back again, in the main to slightly lower than 2010 prices.
Volumes year on year are down, only by less than 1%, but this, along with other data suggests market volumes are weakening. This is significant for those looking to sell this year as lower volumes typically mean prices are likely to fall in the coming months. Back during the market heights, the average monthly volume in England and Wales was approximately 89,000 sales per month. At its lowest in 2009, the average monthly volume was 52,000 - a fall of 40%. Current volumes are running higher, but not by much: 60,000. This still represents 30% fewer homes being sold versus 2007.
READ ON for a Full Summary of House Prices 2011
Recent property price reports which measure what's happened to property prices in the past suggest that 2011 was a year where prices rose until the summer, then dropped back again, in the main to slightly lower than 2010 prices.
Volumes year on year are down, only by less than 1%, but this, along with other data suggests market volumes are weakening. This is significant for those looking to sell this year as lower volumes typically mean prices are likely to fall in the coming months. Back during the market heights, the average monthly volume in England and Wales was approximately 89,000 sales per month. At its lowest in 2009, the average monthly volume was 52,000 - a fall of 40%. Current volumes are running higher, but not by much: 60,000. This still represents 30% fewer homes being sold versus 2007.
READ ON for a Full Summary of House Prices 2011
Thursday, 12 January 2012
Latest Rental Market Statistics
Property Rental Market Update
2011 has proved a good year for the rental market. Firstly, lenders have started to realise buy to let investors are typically a ‘safe bet' when it comes to lending money and secondly, tenant demand is on the increase, meaning lower voids and rents have started to recover and in some cases overtake the heights achieved in September 2008. Much of the media's headlines about rent rises have however given an inaccurate picture as they compare year on year rents which ignore the fact that rents fell between 5% and 20% throughout 2009 due to excess rental stock from accidental landlords.
Current Rental Market Performance
Rental Market Outlook for 2012
2011 has proved a good year for the rental market. Firstly, lenders have started to realise buy to let investors are typically a ‘safe bet' when it comes to lending money and secondly, tenant demand is on the increase, meaning lower voids and rents have started to recover and in some cases overtake the heights achieved in September 2008. Much of the media's headlines about rent rises have however given an inaccurate picture as they compare year on year rents which ignore the fact that rents fell between 5% and 20% throughout 2009 due to excess rental stock from accidental landlords.
Current Rental Market Performance
Rental Market Outlook for 2012
Monday, 9 January 2012
Implications of the FSA Mortgage Changes for the Housing Market
The UK Housing Market
The changes to the market are unlikely to have much impact in the short term as currently mortgage lending criteria is pretty much sticking to similar rules as the FSA intend to impose.
The main impact will really take place when the economy and the market is likely to start recovering. Normally during a recovery, lending criteria will be relaxed a little as house prices start to rise rather than fall and lenders feel more secure in approving mortgage loans.
FIND OUT HERE what the implications are for you!
The changes to the market are unlikely to have much impact in the short term as currently mortgage lending criteria is pretty much sticking to similar rules as the FSA intend to impose.
The main impact will really take place when the economy and the market is likely to start recovering. Normally during a recovery, lending criteria will be relaxed a little as house prices start to rise rather than fall and lenders feel more secure in approving mortgage loans.
FIND OUT HERE what the implications are for you!
Friday, 6 January 2012
Mortgage Changes
To Get a Mortgage
The Financial Services Authority has just announced the latest round of suggestions to reform the mortgage market to try and make sure that the boom and bust in the housing market of 2000-2007 doesn't hit the UK economy again.
The first round didn't go well and suggested that there were going to be no self certification mortgages (where proof of income is not required). It also suggested an end to interest only mortgages. Not allowing lenders this flexibility would have very much put major restrictions on lenders to lend, meaning less buyers would have the finance to buy now and into the future.
READ HERE for the FSA's latest suggestions
The Financial Services Authority has just announced the latest round of suggestions to reform the mortgage market to try and make sure that the boom and bust in the housing market of 2000-2007 doesn't hit the UK economy again.
The first round didn't go well and suggested that there were going to be no self certification mortgages (where proof of income is not required). It also suggested an end to interest only mortgages. Not allowing lenders this flexibility would have very much put major restrictions on lenders to lend, meaning less buyers would have the finance to buy now and into the future.
READ HERE for the FSA's latest suggestions
Thursday, 5 January 2012
Revised London Housing Strategy
Mayor Publishes Revised Housing Strategy for London
According to a recent press release by the Greater London Authority, the Mayor of London has recently published a draft revised London Housing Strategy for consultation with the public. The 12 week consultation period runs out on 6th March 2012.
Since the first strategy was published in the early part of 2010 a number of reviews have taken place, with a number of areas having been identified where change is needed. In August 2011, the Mayor's initial proposals for this new strategy were published for consultation with the London Assembly and GLA Group.
READ ON for full details of the Revised Strategy
According to a recent press release by the Greater London Authority, the Mayor of London has recently published a draft revised London Housing Strategy for consultation with the public. The 12 week consultation period runs out on 6th March 2012.
Since the first strategy was published in the early part of 2010 a number of reviews have taken place, with a number of areas having been identified where change is needed. In August 2011, the Mayor's initial proposals for this new strategy were published for consultation with the London Assembly and GLA Group.
READ ON for full details of the Revised Strategy
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